MONITORING AND FORECASTING OF SHADOW ECONOMY INDICATORS IN BRICS COUNTRIES

Abstract

The scientific article is devoted to the problems of the shadow economy in the BRICS countries. The object of the study is the shadow economy of the BRICS countries. The subject of the study is trends, factors and forecasting capabilities of the shadow economy. The scientific novelty of the work contained in the work consists in the development of theoretical and methodological foundations of shadow economics. An element of scientific novelty can be considered a grouping of similarities and features of the shadow economy in the BRICS countries. The authors considered the causes, consequences and statistical indicators of the shadow sector in the BRICS countries. Based on the monitoring of indicators, the value of the share of the shadow sector from the country's GDP in subsequent years was predicted. The authors conducted a comparative analysis of the nature of the shadow sector in the countries studied. Based on the comparison, similarities and features of the manifestation of this problem were revealed in countries: Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa.