ИЕ НА АНГЛИЙСКОМ ЯЗЫКЕ: METHOD OF FORECASTING OF GOODS MARKET PRICE VERSUS IDENTICAL PRODUCTS BASED ON THEORIES OF EXPERT SYSTEMS

Abstract

A method of prediction the market price based on comparison with identical goods is proposed. The methodology is based on the distribution of the properties of the object of expertise into quantitative signs, qualitative signs and signs of availability. For each of the goods to be compared, an integral quality indicator is defined as a rating number, the weighting factors of which are determined by the modern method of hierarchy analysis. Statistical relationship of obtained values of integral indicator with corresponding values of market price is determined by methods of correlation analysis by group of identical goods. The possibility of adjusting the market price of goods on the basis of calculations of this indicator is investigated. A procedure has been developed to predict the market price of a new product based on the data of an integral indicator for a group of known products and by building a market price trend.