Some aspects of estimation of macroeconomic effect from implementation of state programs

Abstract

The article analyzes the approaches to including in the evaluation of the macroeconomic effect from the implementation of state programs for the analysis of current and forecasted industry conditions. The authors emphasized the minimization of inflationary pressure from the implementation of a particular main event, the state program. The article emphasizes that when developing the problem of estimating inflationary pressures, it is preferable to develop a multi-sectoral model of general equilibrium DSGE. As an interim solution, a methodology for estimating the macroeconomic effect from the implementation of program activities in terms of inflationary expectations is proposed, and the results of calculating the macroeconomic DSGE model for the level of individual programs are scaled.